Pre-tourney Rankings
West Coast
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
35 Gonzaga 100.0%   11   23 - 9 11 - 3 23 - 9 11 - 3 +11.3      +5.6 36 +5.7 35 71.4 84 +10.0 45 +9.1 2
44 St. Mary's 49.1%   23 - 8 11 - 3 23 - 8 11 - 3 +10.3      +5.4 41 +4.9 48 67.3 193 +9.9 47 +9.4 1
99 Portland 0.0%   20 - 11 7 - 7 20 - 11 7 - 7 +4.4      +2.4 92 +2.0 101 62.7 297 +5.5 90 +1.4 5
142 San Francisco 0.0%   15 - 14 10 - 4 15 - 14 10 - 4 +1.7      +0.8 143 +0.9 138 67.8 175 +2.8 127 +8.5 3
145 Santa Clara 0.0%   17 - 14 8 - 6 17 - 14 8 - 6 +1.3      +0.7 144 +0.6 147 70.9 98 +2.1 139 +4.1 4
203 Loyola Marymount 0.0%   9 - 21 2 - 12 9 - 21 2 - 12 -2.6      -1.3 203 -1.3 204 70.9 96 -5.4 253 -9.7 8
220 Pepperdine 0.0%   11 - 21 5 - 9 11 - 21 5 - 9 -3.2      -1.5 212 -1.7 227 69.8 125 -3.3 215 -1.5 6
289 San Diego 0.0%   4 - 24 2 - 12 4 - 24 2 - 12 -8.0      -4.1 293 -3.9 286 63.7 270 -9.8 307 -8.2 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Gonzaga 1.0 100.0
St. Mary's 1.0 100.0
Portland 5.0 100.0
San Francisco 3.0 100.0
Santa Clara 4.0 100.0
Loyola Marymount 7.0 100.0
Pepperdine 6.0 100.0
San Diego 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Gonzaga 11 - 3 100.0
St. Mary's 11 - 3 100.0
Portland 7 - 7 100.0
San Francisco 10 - 4 100.0
Santa Clara 8 - 6 100.0
Loyola Marymount 2 - 12 100.0
Pepperdine 5 - 9 100.0
San Diego 2 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Gonzaga 100.0% 100.0
St. Mary's 100.0% 100.0
Portland
San Francisco
Santa Clara
Loyola Marymount
Pepperdine
San Diego


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Gonzaga 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11   0.1 1.6 8.5 31.7 41.3 16.8 0.0
St. Mary's 49.1% 0.0% 49.1% 0.1 0.4 2.7 10.2 34.6 1.1 50.9 49.1%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
San Francisco 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Santa Clara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Gonzaga 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 45.8% 15.8% 5.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
St. Mary's 49.1% 29.9% 35.2% 13.7% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Francisco 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Santa Clara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.5 50.9 49.1
1st Round 100.0% 1.4 64.8 35.2
2nd Round 53.4% 0.6 46.6 47.4 6.1
Sweet Sixteen 19.8% 0.2 80.2 19.1 0.7
Elite Eight 6.8% 0.1 93.2 6.7 0.1
Final Four 1.9% 0.0 98.1 1.9
Final Game 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Champion 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1